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There is no universal number, because the bar is set by whoever ranks now. A keyword whose top results have a handful of referring domains asks little of you; one where they have hundreds is a long project. Ahrefs puts the choice plainly: "Target uncompetitive topics that you can rank for with few or no backlinks," or "target competitive topics and build backlinks to rank." A good number of backlinks is whatever the pages you want to displace already have.

Step What you record What it tells you
1. Choose the page One URL and the one query it targets What the links are for
2. Measure the top ten Followed referring domains per ranking page: lowest, median, highest, date The bar you have to reach
3. Compare The median minus your own count Your backlink gap
4. Add growth How fast the leaders gain new linking sites How far the bar moves while you work

1. Choose the page first

Links go to pages, so the unit is one URL and its query, not the whole site. Write the page before thinking about links; a gap measured for a page that misses the query's intent tells you nothing. Site strength still helps, since stronger sites, in Ahrefs' words, "have more PageRank that they can pass to pages with internal links."

2. Measure the top ten

For each ranking page, record its followed referring domains, then note the lowest, the median and the highest. Count sites, not links: Backlinko cites Google's Matt Cutts confirming that sitewide links are "compressed" to count as a single link. A backlink tool's report for each ranking URL gives the page counts. For the site behind each result, the free domain rating checker shows referring domains, the share of followed links and a 0 to 100 domain rank for any domain, so you can see whether you face major publishers or sites like yours.

3. Compare with your own profile

Subtract your page's referring domains from the median: that is your gap. Then look at the bottom of the top ten. If the weakest result has few referring domains and a thin page, it is your entry point. If every result has hundreds, treat the keyword as a long-term target and start somewhere easier. Strength is always relative to these sites, as the page on domain authority explains.

4. Add a growth allowance

The pages you want to beat keep earning links while you build yours. In a 2018 study of the top 20 results for 10,000 keywords, Ahrefs found that most number-one pages gained followed links from new referring domains at 5% to 14.5% a month. A top page with 55 referring domains would have 64 to 83 three months later: "So you need to build as many as 83 backlinks in 3 months, just to keep up." Treat that as a rough allowance and re-measure every month or two.

Why the count alone does not decide the ranking

A gap is a floor for competing, not a ticket to a position. The same Ahrefs study "failed to distill any observable relationship" between how fast top pages gained links and how their positions moved, and in its example for "make money online" the first result has fewer referring domains than the third. Its explanation: "not all links are created equal," and Google weighs other things, such as content quality. Intent can outweigh links entirely: Ahrefs shows a shop page that does not rank for "best yoga mats" despite links from more than six times as many websites as any top-ranking page. Build the page that best answers the query, then close the gap.

The cheapest way to shrink a backlink gap is to change the keyword. Ahrefs observes that pages earning search traffic without backlinks are almost all about low-competition topics, and suggests filtering for a difficulty of 20 or less. Semrush found that the best new domains in its study ranked for slightly longer phrases, 3.2 to 3.5 words on average, which "often have a lower difficulty score." Difficulty scores are a shortcut for step 2, since the links of the current top ten are a large part of how tools calculate them, but read the results page before you commit. Signs a young site can win it:

  • The weakest pages in the top ten have few referring domains.
  • A result outranks pages with more links, so other signals carry weight.
  • The ranking pages answer the query only partly, or answer a different intent.

A weak results page can also mean nobody searches, so confirm the demand first, then group winnable keywords into clusters that support each other.

A link counts for more when it comes from a site that does not already link to you, when that site is relevant ("a link from a site in a similar niche is significantly more powerful," says Backlinko), and when it sits inside the content rather than in a footer. Count followed links, since Google treats nofollow, sponsored and ugc as hints. Let the linking author choose the words, because a pattern of keyword-rich anchor text is what manipulation looks like. Link building covers the tactics that earn such links.

No source gives a safe number of links per month. What the data shows is that links separate the new sites that stick from those that fade. In Semrush's 13-month study of 28,000 new domains, 92.3% of those that held a top-100 ranking throughout had at least one backlink, and 55.1% of those that never reached the top 10 had none. Its top performers grew their referring domains steadily while the wider group stayed flat for most of the year. So earn links at a pace you can sustain from real sources, avoid sudden bursts of identical anchors, and re-measure monthly. See how long SEO takes for when rankings respond, and increasing domain authority for raising overall strength.

How Structura handles this

Structura builds no links. It sends no outreach, buys nothing and places no links on other sites, so closing a backlink gap stays with you or your PR.

What it changes is which gaps you take on. On paid plans, each campaign's keyword research sets a difficulty ceiling from your site's current strength, using a difficulty score calculated from, among other things, the link profiles of the first ten results. A young site's campaign therefore leads with phrases where the gap is small, and harder phrases wait at the bottom of the list as Pillars. Each post is written after a read of the pages already ranking and, with internal linking switched on, links into your existing posts, so the links any page earns reach the rest.

It does not run the analysis page by page: it does not count each ranking URL's referring domains or track competitors' link growth. The blog SEO software page shows how keywords are matched to a site's strength.

FAQ

For low-competition queries, yes, but rarely for anything contested. Of roughly 20 million pages in Ahrefs' index with no referring domains, only 2,997 got more than 1,000 search visits a month. Semrush's study of new domains found that more than half of those without a single backlink never reached the first page. A new site's realistic start is narrow, specific queries while links accumulate.

Sometimes, and you cannot tell when. Since 2019, Google has treated nofollow, sponsored and ugc as "hints about which links to consider or exclude within Search," so a nofollow link may or may not pass anything. Measure your gap in followed referring domains and treat nofollow links as a bonus: they still send visitors.

No study gives a safe monthly number, and in Ahrefs' data link pace did not predict ranking moves. Benchmark against the leaders you are chasing: most number-one pages in Ahrefs' study gained new referring domains at 5% to 14.5% a month. Count new referring domains, not links.

Not for the domain ending alone. Backlinko reports that Google's Matt Cutts said a top-level domain does not factor into a site's importance, and that Google has said it ignores lots of .edu links. A .edu or .gov link is worth having when the linking page is relevant and editorial, like any other link.

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